Modelling Brexit probability - and the opportunity

Modelling Brexit probability - and the opportunity

Join us for The Road to Brexit: A horizon-scanning webinar

Join us for The Road to Brexit: A horizon-scanning webinar brought to you by Russell Group Limited and AFEX.

Date: Wednesday, 20th March, 2019

Time: 10:00 am - 11:00 am GMT

Trevor Charsley of AFEX, and Manvir Basi of Russell Group will debate the potential impacts of a deal/no deal scenario, analysing international currency impact along with the connected geopolitical and economic risks.

They will also inject a healthy dose of optimism that the UK can use this “great schism” to steer UK business and markets into a bright and profitable future as EU growth stalls.

The AFEX view is that there are four roads to Brexit. Their probabilities are:

No deal Brexit and UK leaves EU March 29th to trade on WTO rules - 20%
Deal agreed with additional codicil and UK leaves EU March 29th into a transition phase - 50%
Extension to article 50 agreed and the UK leaves the EU later in 2019 into a transition phase - 20%
Referendum #2 and UK stays in the EU - 10%

Whatever the outcome, the geopolitical stakes have rarely been so high—or the implications so broad!

Meet the Members

AFEX

AFEX

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